Baffert holds the aces in Robert B. Lewis
Horseracing Betting Lines
02/02/2012 -
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Not only does Bob Baffert have the favorite in this
Saturday's Robert B. Lewis at Santa Anita, but the silver-haired trainer also
has what could be the future Kentucky Derby champion entered in the Grade II
event.
Liaison comes into the 1 1/16-mile race as the morning-line choice after
taking care of business in the CashCall Futurity this past December. The son
of Indian Charlie has won his last three starts, including a pair of stakes
races at Hollywood Park.
This will be Liaison's second career start on true dirt. His first was a 2
3/4-length maiden win over seven-furlongs at Santa Anita. Following that
effort Baffert threw him into the Real Quiet Stakes around two turns and
Liaison responded with a half-length score over Rousing Sermon.
The time was a mediocre 1:44 3/5 but the field of six 'walked' through the
race going a half in 48 4/5 and the first six-furlongs in 1:13 3/5 seconds.
Liaison was never more than two-lengths off the lead until he took command
into the stretch while easily holding off Rousing Sermon at the wire.
Liaison was close to the pace in his next start (the CashCall Futurity) as
well, but through much quicker fractions of 46 4/5 and 1:11. In addition,
instead of having to go three-wide, as was the case in the Real Quiet, he sat
on the rail saving all the ground until the field turned into the stretch.
Liaison once again held off the late charge from Rousing Sermon to win by a
neck.
The final eighth-of-a-mile was a cavalry charge as 10 horses were within four
lengths of each other. In fact, the seventh-placed horse wound up losing by
less than three-lengths.
What was most impressive about Liaison's race in the CashCall was how he was
able to withstand the rigorous early pace while racing in the fourth spot to
win the Grade I event. To that end, the horses that were first, second, third,
fifth, and sixth after the first half-mile finished seventh, ninth, 10th,
11th, and eighth, respectively.
Baffert's other runner, Sky Kingdom, is primed for a huge effort in the 1
1/16-mile event despite a pedigree suited for nine and 10-furlongs. After
finishing a decent fourth in the CashCall, he won what might have been the
most impressive three-year-old allowance race in California this year. In
addition, his latest workout - five-furlongs in 58 2/5 - shows he is in top
form to turn the tables on his stablemate.
Since Sky Kingdom has only banked $60,000 in graded earnings, a victory in the
Robert B. Lewis is critical in gaining enough money to be eligible to race in
the Kentucky Derby, especially when he might only make one more start - the
Santa Anita Derby - before going on to Churchill Downs.
A longshot to keep in mind in the Robert B. Lewis is I'll Have Another. The
son of Flower Alley is a little bit behind the rest of the field since his
last race was back in September. Nevertheless, he's bred to run all day and
Doug O'Neill has worked him extensively over six and seven-furlongs in recent
weeks.
OTHER GRADED SATURDAY STAKES (FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS)
The Grade III Withers Stakes at Aqueduct should be another easy victory for
Alpha. The son of Bernardini, who won the Count Fleet earlier in the meet,
will be odds-on to take his second straight stakes event over the inner dirt.
Like Sky Kingdom, Alpha needs graded earnings as he holds the same $60,000
under his belt. However, it should be easier for him to garner sufficient
earnings as he continues to face lackluster horses in New York.
The Sam F. Davis Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs has been owned by Todd Pletcher in
recent years as his horses have won four of the last six meetings. He is
expected to enter Ecabroni off the colt's seven-furlong maiden win on Jan. 14
at Gulfstream Park, a race the son of Smoke Glacken won by two-lengths. More
impressive was the gap of almost eight-lengths back to the horse in third.
Other Sam F. Davis contenders are State of Play, Reveron, Neck N Neck, and
Prospective.
(Spring Hill Farm, Pletcher's other three-year-old winner the day Ecabroni
broke his maiden, is scheduled to run the following weekend in the Hutcheson
Stakes against Ever So Lucky and Thunder Moccasin.)
HANSEN SUFFERS HIS FIRST DEFEAT
Hansen, the two-year-old champion, was the 4-5 favorite in the Holy Bull last
Saturday at Gulfstream Park, but the gray son of Tapit was not up to the
challenge as Algorithms cruised to an easy five-length score.
After stumbling slightly out of the gate, Hansen built a 4 1/2-length lead
after a 45 3/5 first half-mile. Unfortunately, he backed up through the
stretch finishing with a 26 4/5 final quarter-mile. The Gulfstream track was
sloppy so that might have had something to do with his performance. Still, it
is obvious he is not a 10-furlong type of horse.
On the other hand, Algorithms looked the part of a stakes winner, claiming
$240,000 of graded earnings. The Todd Pletcher-trained colt should have two
more races prior to Kentucky, both of which will be around two turns.
Another one of Pletcher's three-year-olds won Saturday's seventh race, an
entry level allowance/optional claimer. El Padrino took care of business by
two lengths over Take Charge Indy, with a gap of 13 3/4-lengths back to
Argentine Tango in third.
El Padrino came into the allowance event off a third-place finish in the
Remsen Stakes last November, a race he did not look all that impressive until
the final yards. Moreover, his lone two lifetime wins have come on off tracks
so the jury is still out on the son of Pulpit.
Take Charge Indy ran well in defeat despite moving to the lead way too early
in the race. It was his first appearance since a fifth in the Breeders' Cup
Juvenile and his first on a wet surface so he could improve in his next
outing. On the other hand, all he has done in his career is win a maiden race,
so don't look for him to suddenly jump up and win a major Kentucky Derby prep.
The two biggest disappointments on the day were Consortium and Casual Trick.
The former ran last in the Holy Bull, while the latter finished next-to-last
as the favorite in the race won by El Padrino.
The weekend's top three-year-old performance came from a filly.
Broadway's Alibi, trained by Todd Pletcher, won the Forward Gal Stakes by 16
3/4-lengths while running the seven-furlongs in a brisk 1:21 4/5 seconds. To
put that in perspective, Algorithms needed 1:23 to get past Hansen one race
later on the card.
The filly is by Vindication out of a Seeking the Gold mare, named Broadway
Gold, who is a half-sister to Dialed In. Broadway's Alibi has now won her last
three races by a combined 28 3/4-lengths.
THE JEFF FRANK 'DIRTY DOZEN'
1) Sky Kingdom - Needs a good showing on Saturday to remain in the top spot;
2) Union Rags - Must maintain a straight course through the stretch this
spring; 3) Algorithms - His first two-turn race will answer more questions; 4)
Gemologist - Pletcher will run him just twice before the Kentucky Derby; 5)
Discreet Dancer - If the Derby was a mile, he would be alone at the top of
this list; 6) Alpha - Could have an unbeaten three-year-old campaign prior to
the first Saturday in May; 7) Liaison - Derby distance might be a problem; 8)
Out of Bounds - Same might hold true for this son of Discreet Cat; 9) Creative
Cause - Will make his three-year-old debut later this month; 10) El Padrino -
Pletcher's fourth horse in the top 10 moves up if it rains on Derby day; 11)
Hansen - Must rebound in his next start or he is off the list; 12) Sabercat -
Hasn't worked since early December.
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MySportsbook.com week 1 NFL lines
Now that the 2008 NFL schedule is finally out, it is only matter-of-course for lines on “Week 1” to follow. Of course MySportsbook.com is the first to churn out odds for the NFL’s inaugural week for the upcoming season. Expect a lot of fireworks the first Thursday night of the season as the defending champion Indianapolis Colts face off against the surprise of the 2008 season, the New Orleans Saints. These teams were ranked #1 and #3 in the NFL respectively a season ago so a high scoring affair could be in order. As of now, the Colts will be giving 6 points to the Saints; keep in mind the Saints were one of the better road teams last season going 6-3 SU and 7-2 ATS. The first Monday night of the season will again provide a “double feature”. Coming off a disappointing season, the Cincinnati Bengals will look to get back to playoffs and improve their public image as they take on the AFC North favorite Baltimore Ravens. The second game features a couple of teams that haven’t had too much success recently but each could make some noise if the NFC is as weak as it was last year as the San Francisco 49ers host the Arizona Cardinals. The most interesting game of the opening week will feature the NFC champion Bears as they hit the road to take on the NFL’s top team during last year’s regular season, the San Diego Chargers.
MySportsbook.com Week 1 odds:
Saints +6 @ Colts -6
Falcons @ Vikings (pick ‘em)
Panthers @ Rams (pick ‘em)
Broncos -3.5 @ Bills +3.5
Chiefs -1 @ Texans +1
Dolphins +3 @ Redskins -3
Patriots -5 @ Jets +5
Eagles -3.5 @ Packers +3.5
Steelers -4 @ Browns +4
Titans +6 @ Jaguars -6
Bears +6 @ Chargers -6
Lions +3 @ Raiders -3
Bucs +6.5 @ Seahawks -6.5
Giants +4 @ Cowboys -4
Ravens +3 @ Bengals -3
Cardinals +3 @ 49ers -3
Super Bowl line (2008)
NFC +6.5 vs. AFC -6.5
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NFL Football Sports Betting
Two playoff teams from 2007 take center stage on the NFL Network Sunday night in a Week 2 NFL betting match-up when the (0-1) New England Patriots betting head south to Florida for a contest with the (1-0) Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
New England HC Bill Belichick couldn’t care less about the way his team plays in the preseason. With a chance to tie last week’s game with the Baltimore Ravens betting, He elected to go for the two-point conversion and outright victory. The conversion failed, and the Pats ended up falling to the Ravens by a 16-15 final count.
New England rolled off twelve unanswered points to give it a chance at securing the victory, but it never threatened to cover the 3.5-point spread. NFL bettors saw this one coming, as they bet the Ravens down from +6 to +3.5 as the week progressed. QB Tom Brady didn’t take part in the Patriots first preseason clash, but could see action this weekend.
His three replacements all put up embarrassing numbers. They went a combined 17 for 33, and threw three interceptions and no touchdowns. The New England defense was encouraging, as they held the Ravens to 2/12 third down conversions and surrendered just ten first downs. That ‘D’ should be bolstered with the addition of former Bucs and Denver Broncos betting safety John Lynch, who could make his Patriots debut on Sunday against his former mates.
HC Jon Gruden had to be impressed with the way his Bucs played on both sides of the ball in their dominating 17-6 victory over the Miami Dolphins in Week 1’s NFL pre-season betting action. Bucs bettors were quite happy with the effort, as they made a mockery of the fact that they were underdogs in the game.
The logjam at the quarterback position didn’t get any easier to separate for Gruden, as all four of his QBs had positive experiences in the first exhibition of 2008. The four combined to complete 28 of their 40 passes for 204 yards and a touchdown, and that was without starting QB Jeff Garcia in the lineup.
RB Michael Bennett had 19 carries and four receptions, totaling 90 yards and a touchdown. Expect to see more of Bennett, Kenneth Darby, and Earnest Graham, as they all compete for playing time with Warrick Dunn in the backfield this season. Defensively, the Bucs recorded four sacks and held the Fins offense in check all day.
First round draft pick Aqib Talib was impressive in the secondary, recording a tackle and two pass defenses in his debut. Don’t be surprised to see Talib in the starting lineup opposite Ronde Barber for the Bucs in ’08.
The betting trends suggest that NFL bettors should be backing the Bucs in this intra-conference exhibition.
These two teams hooked up last year in Tampa Bay, with the Bucs winning that game 13-10. The Buccaneers have only lost one preseason game at home dating back to the beginning of the ’05 preseason. The Patriots have had a mixed bag of results in their recent exhibitions. They have gone 2-2 ATS and SU each of the last three years.
New England currently sits as modest 1-point favorites in this preseason showdown with the ‘total’ now sitting at 34.5.
You can find these lines and all of the NFL betting lines , so be sure to login and get your wagers down before kickoff!
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines .
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